Two different men, two different tweets, one June day.
Barack Obama and Donald Trump are two different men with very different bases of support, and they’ll likely have two very different presidencies — particularly when it comes to the economy.
There are plenty of ways to show this, but few could throw the contrast into relief quite like what both were doing on social media on June 20, 2012.
What was happening on that day just over five years ago? We were in the midst of a presidential campaign, this time between former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and President Obama. Obama had a lot on his mind: The economy hadn’t recovered, health care costs were rising, housing prices were still in the doldrums, and his rival was raising more money than he was. So, what did he do? He got onto Twitter and decided to say a kind of minor-league swear:
Now, of course, “hell” isn’t exactly the worst word you’ll hear in an America where “South Park” is in its 20th season. Heck, President Trump has said worse. However, what it referred to begins to elucidate the contrast between the last two residents at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave.
“Hell no” referred to a line in a statement on Obama’s campaign website which has since been taken down. He was trying, without much evidence, to tie Romney to shady corporate money (and just four short years before he’d throw his full, unconditional support behind half of the duo responsible for the Clinton Foundation).
“They’re going to try to avoid this for as long as they can,” the statement from Obama campaign manager Jim Messina read, according to ABC News. “After all, they have a vested interest in being able to spend millions anonymously to influence our elections — many of the corporations and individuals funding their organizations don’t want their agendas to receive scrutiny from the press or the public. We can make sure they don’t get away with hiding these donors — or their agendas. But it’s going to take a lot of us standing up, putting our foot down, and saying ‘Hell no.’”
While the president was busy corporate-shaming, Donald Trump had a much different message for the American people.
nstead, Trump said that they should look into investing in real estate while the market was at its lowest.
“Now is the time to buy housing, before values have fully recovered. In 5 years, remember I told you so,” Trump tweeted.
Now is the time to buy housing, before values have fully recovered. In 5 years, remember I told you so.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 20, 2012
So, how did he do five years on? Well, Trump lives in a more desirable piece of real estate nowadays, of course, but his predictions are shockingly accurate, as The Washington Post noted.
Even the headline is worth noting: “Five years ago, Trump made a prediction on Twitter about housing. He nailed it.”
The article backed that up.
“It’s perhaps only in this era of mature social media that we can suddenly be presented with such a pristine opportunity to evaluate someone’s predictive powers. Trump wanted us to check the housing market in five years? Okay. Let’s,” the Post article read.
“While home prices (relative to 1980) climbed more slowly after the recession than before, the five-year-range in Trump’s prediction showed consistent growth.
“The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index shows a similar trend, although Trump didn’t quite hit the low in that case,” it continued. “Prices had already started to trend back up relative to 2000 prices — for the first time since the end of the recession.”
The Post went on to note that “(a)t that point, the country was still recovering from the recession, and Trump’s long-term prediction was riskier than it seems now that we can see the full trend.
“Maybe it was a guess,” The Post concluded, somewhat grudgingly. “It’s certainly the case that Trump’s gotten other predictions wrong before and after. But if there’s one industry that Trump should know, it’s real estate.”
He also apparently knew the American economy and the fact that — even under Obama’s pitiful mismanagement — real estate prices couldn’t stay low forever. If you’d have taken his advice, real estate would have been a good investment. It certainly would have paid off better than a donation to the Clinton Foundation.
One day. Two men. Two very different messages. And one very good indication why one displaced the other in the White House.
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